Futures Magazine Page

The Computerized Trader

by Gibbons Burke

The Computerized Trader column debuted in the May, 1992 issue of Futures Magazine, and it's appeared in every issue since. Here's a list of all the CT columns I've published, with a brief abstract of the contents. Starting with January 1996, the text of the columns are available online. I maintain a list of Internet resources useful to traders called Wahoo!.

On Newstands now!

August 1996 - Deflating the Dow

Stocks always go up... right? Not exactly. When you take the air out of inflated stock indexes, it paints a much different picture. This column shows what happens when you chart the Dow Jones Industrial Average on a constant dollar basis. Did you know that the Dow lost 75% of its real value between 1966 and 1982?

Quick Clicks:

1992 Columns

May - A Continuous Debate
Continuous contracts for back-testing trading systems; OS/2 vs. Windows.
June - Realizing a Trading System
Computer Associate's BASIC development language, Realizer, makes a good technical analysis platform.
July - The Debate Continues...
In which the writer airs and responds to reader letters regarding the proper use of continuous contracts when testing trading systems.
August - Back up, Jack!
Tips for the proper care and feeding of your PC, including regular backups, disk diagnostics, and power line conditioners.
September - Building on the Tower of Babel
A rant about the lack of standards in the futures industry, in symbols used to denote futures and options, price quotation conventions, and computer data formats.
October - Objects of Desire
As a companion piece to the cover story on Steve Jobs and the NeXT computer's use on Wall Street, object-oriented programming is explained.
November - GLOBEX data: Better than the real thing?
How to deal with the nastiness of 24-hour electronic trading and how it affects technical analysis; Bob-in-a-Box: Bob Prechter's autmatic Elliot Wave counting engine; the truth about Futures Truth.
December - Hard look at new software
A look at new products at the 1992 FIA Expo in Chicago. New products featured were SuperCharts from Omega Research, PointsAhead from The Small Investor's Software Co., and new data offerings from the Futures Industry Institute.
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1993 Columns

January - Turtle madness
Former "Turtle" (Richard Dennis trading acolyte) Russell Sands makes hay by disclosing the reknowned trading system of his former mentor. Here's the meat of the vaunted system - proving yet again that there is nothing new under the sun.
February - Computer software to help view the forests and the trees
A look at software programs that help a trader test trading system performance on a portfolio-wide basis, a vital test for simulating the real-time effect on your account equity.
March - Neural nets go to school
An announcement of an academic effort to determine if neural networks can help one trade the markets profitable; an online trading software guide called Wall Street Software Digest.
April - Easing the sting of April 15
A description of a seasonal trade in 30-year Treasury Bond futures which continues to be profitable.
May - Comments and queries
Some letters from readers and responses.
June - Scanning the horizons
Two inexpensive shareware offerings for DOS PCs which, among other functions, allow the user to scan a database for instruments that meet technical criteria. Update on the tax day trade from the April issue: $2,781.25 gain per contract!
July - Getting traders online
What's availble from online services such as CompuServe and America Online that would be of interest to traders; how to obtain copies of spreadsheets featured in articles (Optimal F for the Mac or for Windows, etc.)
August - Analyzing trading performance with Excel
How to calculate standard measures of trading performance, such as drawdown, VAMI (Value Added Monthly Index), Sharpe Ratio, used by commodity trading advisors when reporting their results. Spreadsheet is available in the Futures spreadsheet archive in versions for the Macintosh and for Windows.
September - Something for nothing
More information about online resources for traders, including the Free Financial Network, and the Internet newsgropus (your read it here first, folks), the Market Technicians Association Bulletin Board, and the Chicago Board of Trade's BBS (yet another scoop.)
October - Figuring fibonacci retracements
In my last issue of Futures working as a full-time editor, I created an Excel spreadsheet to illustrate how to calculate Fibonacci market retracements and projections. This handy calculator is available in the Futures spreadsheet archive in versions for the Macintosh and for Windows.
November - Working with OS/2 2.1
A stab at using IBM's Windows killer (ahem) before it got warped.
December - Windows to the world
A roundup of offerings at the 1993 FIA Expo in Chicago. Windows products seemed to be everywhere, including Townsend Analytics TA_SRV, a real-time quote feed reader for Windows, vaporware announcements of System Writer for Windows (it still isn't shipping) and a neural net add-in for Omega's TradeStation.
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1994 Columns

January - Know thy data
Dealing with computer price data for futures markets requires diligence, attention to meticulous detail, and a knowledge of where problems might arise. A few tips for how to avoid or correct common problems.
February - Picking nits and niggling ticks
How to deal with the different minimum tick intervals used in each market. Includes a handy algorithm for rounding prices the nearest tick.
March - A sharper Sharpe ratio
The Sharpe ratio is used to compare trading performance of trading systems, traders, and portfolios, but many don't like it because it penalizes upside volatility (profitability). Here's a trading performance measure that doesn't have that drawback, executed in Excel spreadsheets for the Macintosh and for Windows.
April - Tapping into the Federal Reserve
Economic and Monetary is available for free downloading from several Federal Reserve bulletin board systems. A look at new offerings, as well as FEDWORLD, a BBS gateway to hundreds of government BBSs in the District of Columbia area.
May - Knowing a spreadsheet's limitations
Spreadsheets can be very useful tools, but they have their limits. How to tell when you've outgrown your spreadsheet and need to graduate to a programming language, and which one to use.
June - Happy returns of the day
Hillary made a Wizard-like fortune in the Meats markets. In this column I ignore what I wrote in March - here I present a spreasheet calculator which can take an account equity on any starting date and account equity on any ending date and provide the annualized return for the period. The calculator is available for the Macintosh and for Windows.
July - Comparing Apples to Apples
How to create indexed charts of prices. The spreadsheet used for the example is available for the Macintosh and for Windows.
August - State of the chart
A look at charting software and it's evolution from Tim Slater's garage in New Orleans to today. A plug for Occam's Razor.
September - Currency coin toss
Money makes the world go 'round: With daily volume of a trillion dollars a day, the international FOREX market is a behemoth. Because currencies trade over the counter, data to analyze this market is difficult to obtain. A discussion of some of the issues involved in dealing with the currency markets and the data.
October - Setting a standard
Efforts by the Futures Industry Association (FIA) Research Division and the Managed Futures Association (MFA) to set standars for communication s between brokers and CTA's. Discussion of ISO standards for currency symbols and country codes. Announcement of the formation of a new Usenet newsgroup on the Internet called misc.invest.futures, in internet home all our own.
November - Your Internet home companion
This edition heralds the Futures ftp archive at ftp://ftp.io.com/pub/usr/gibbonsb/futures/ for spreadsheets.
December - Figuring out inflation
How to use CPI data from the Federal Reserve to calculate the real rate of inflation.
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1995 Columns

January - Expo's top gun software
The annual roundup of new and exiting software offerings at the 1994 FIA Expo. This was the year of vaporware, featuring System Writer for Windows and Metastock for Windows - two products that are fun to look at trade shows but which you couldn't take home with you. Real-time vendors FutureSource and CQG were both showing products featuring technical indicators from systems guru Tom DeMark. A new visual display system, ScanShift, was mistakenly called ScanSight in the column. Mea culpa.
February - Tangled in a web
Web sites for Wired traders. Click here for a list of some interesting web sites I've found.
March - Coming soon to a Federal Reserve near you...
An updated listing of Federal Reserve Bulletin boards with new offerings from the Federal Reserve Banks of San Francisco, Boston, and Chicago.
April - Event-based analysis
A look at a novel way to search for profitable trading opportunities. The Market Information Machine from LIM is an excellent way to perform event based analysis. The column also discusses a spreadsheet I created for an article which appeared in Futures in January 1993 which shows how to use Student's t-test to evaluate trade profitablility. By clicking on the following links, you can download t-test.xlw, an Excel worksheet for the Macintosh and for Windows
May - Spitting into the wind
Analysis of currency exchange rates back to 1957 shows that once a currency declines more than 50% in one year against the dollar, it never, ever recovers. The Mexican Peso did just that in its recent decline against the greenback.
June -Net Watch
New web sites for traders from various exchanges, vendors, and others.
July - Excalibur a double-edged sword
A look at Excalibur, Futures Truth's Mac-based system testing program, formerly for the Mac, now available for Windows.
August - Extremely Average
How to calculate and chart simple and exponential moving averages in a spreadsheet using some simple naming tricks. The simple moving average formula automatically adjusts itself for different length averages which need a varying lead-up period (first n-1 number of days when there aren't enough values to calculate the average.) By clicking on the following links, you can download SMA-EMA.XLS, an Excel (4.0) spreadsheet for the Macintosh and for Windows
September - Fed Watching on the Net
Web sites for watching the actions of the Federal Reserve, as well as other interesting links for traders can be found on Wahoo! a collection of internet sites of interest to traders.
October - A homebrew Treasury yield curve
How to chart the yield curve using data from the Fed with a simple Microsoft Excel spreadsheet.
November - The quick and the dead
A review of futures exchanges and how they are using andvanced technologies such as the internet and CD-ROM discs to distribute historical and up-to-the-minute price data.
December - Commitment to the Net
One of the best ways to determine what smart money in the futures market is doing is to watch their footprints as tracked in the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) Commitments of Traders Report. The bi-weekly report is now available on the internet.
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1996 Columns

January - Managed futures on the net
A look at sites on the World Wide Web which manage and track professional commodity and futures traders. Rankings, performance charts and tables, and contact information are available - but some sites are more current and up-to-date than otheres.
February - Dialing for digital dollars
The internet offers an opportunity to busnesses that want to sell services, products, and information on the World Wide Web, but establishing a fast, private, secure way to pay for these things has been a stumbling block. Mark Twain Bank is offering accounts in a digital cash, a new technology for un-traceable, completely private electronic cash pioneered by cryptologist David Chaum and his company Digicash. See my Web Links page for a list of electronic money information resources. How soon till there's a futures contract for trading digital currencies?
March - Plan your trades, trade your plan
A look at $ecure - a trading diary-keeping and discipline enforcing program from ChaRT software.
April - King of all media channels
The Internet has created a media channel which allows major players from formerly non-competetive areas to compete against one another. The result has been an explosion of information on the internet used by traders, from real-time quotes, news, to trading system vendors and advisors.
May - Dukes of URL
The internet has spawned a school of traders who make their trading expertise available to the world, gratis. This article focuses on two of them: Troutman, Defender of Sticks, and The Consistent Bond Trader. The latter has given up the ghost, however, as of 5 May 1996.

Also in this issue is Years of the comet - a look at the historical lore of comets, and what they might portend for commodity prices.

June - Conducting business on the Net
Classical pianist and self-described "wunderkind" Philip Hotchkiss has rolled into town (the Net) like Professor Harold Hill in the Broadway musical "The Music Man" and has built a concert hall. But you won't be hearing any Beethoven or Brahms concertos from your Web browser anytime soon. In this venue, trading performance is the featured act. A review of this well-designed, site.
July - Net brokerage
Electronic stock trading and brokerage on the internet is now de riguer but futures brokers, many of whom have excellent informational web sites have been slow to create online order and account tracking facilities on the new electronic frontier. A few pioneers are noted.
August - Deflating the Dow
Stocks always go up... right? Not exactly. When you take the air out of inflated stock indexes, it paints a much different picture. This column shows what happens when you chart the Dow Jones Industrial Average on a constant dollar basis. Did you know that the Dow lost 75% of its real value between 1966 and 1982?
[Back]
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