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September 10, 2004

Margin of Error

margin-of-error.gif


I've been thinking about how people react to polling numbers, and how that margin of error seems so important when your guy is behind but not when he's ahead.

First image is a hypothetical presidential poll with 4 pixels per point and +/- 3% shown as 24 pixel blur. The second uses real numbers from Gallup, but I'm not putting the numbers, because they imply more precision than really exists.

Posted by dme at September 10, 2004 11:52 AM

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