The first chart lists the chances of getting at leastone of a given card in your opening draw. However, the second chart lists the chances of getting exactly one of a given card. Notice that at some point, the likelihood that you'll get just one of the needed card starts to go down due to the increasing opportunity to get more than one of these in your opening draw.
|
40
|
50
|
60
|
70
|
80
|
90
|
|
|
1
|
17.50%
|
14.00%
|
11.67%
|
10.00%
|
8.75%
|
7.78%
|
|
2
|
32.31%
|
26.29%
|
22.15%
|
19.13%
|
16.84%
|
15.03%
|
|
3
|
44.78%
|
37.04%
|
31.54%
|
27.46%
|
24.30%
|
21.79%
|
|
4
|
55.22%
|
46.41%
|
39.95%
|
35.03%
|
31.18%
|
28.08%
|
|
5
|
63.93%
|
54.57%
|
47.46%
|
41.92%
|
37.52%
|
33.94%
|
|
6
|
71.14%
|
61.64%
|
54.14%
|
48.18%
|
43.35%
|
39.38%
|
|
7
|
77.09%
|
67.74%
|
60.09%
|
53.85%
|
48.71%
|
44.43%
|
|
8
|
81.95%
|
72.99%
|
65.36%
|
58.98%
|
53.63%
|
49.12%
|
|
9
|
85.90%
|
77.49%
|
70.02%
|
63.61%
|
58.14%
|
53.46%
|
|
10
|
89.08%
|
81.33%
|
74.14%
|
67.78%
|
62.26%
|
57.48%
|
|
11
|
91.63%
|
84.60%
|
77.76%
|
71.54%
|
66.04%
|
61.20%
|
|
12
|
93.65%
|
87.37%
|
80.94%
|
74.92%
|
69.48%
|
64.64%
|
|
13
|
95.24%
|
89.69%
|
83.72%
|
77.95%
|
72.62%
|
67.81%
|
|
14
|
96.47%
|
91.64%
|
86.14%
|
80.65%
|
75.48%
|
70.74%
|
|
15
|
97.42%
|
93.27%
|
88.25%
|
83.07%
|
78.08%
|
73.43%
|
|
40
|
50
|
60
|
70
|
80
|
90
|
|
|
1
|
17.50%
|
14.00%
|
11.67%
|
10.00%
|
8.75%
|
7.78%
|
|
2
|
29.62%
|
24.57%
|
20.96%
|
18.26%
|
16.17%
|
14.51%
|
|
3
|
37.41%
|
32.25%
|
28.19%
|
24.97%
|
22.39%
|
20.28%
|
|
4
|
41.79%
|
37.51%
|
33.63%
|
30.32%
|
27.53%
|
25.17%
|
|
5
|
43.53%
|
40.77%
|
37.53%
|
34.45%
|
31.69%
|
29.27%
|
|
6
|
43.28%
|
42.40%
|
40.12%
|
37.53%
|
34.99%
|
32.64%
|
|
7
|
41.59%
|
42.72%
|
41.61%
|
39.68%
|
37.51%
|
35.36%
|
|
8
|
38.88%
|
42.01%
|
42.17%
|
41.02%
|
39.35%
|
37.49%
|
|
9
|
35.54%
|
40.51%
|
41.97%
|
41.69%
|
40.58%
|
39.09%
|
|
10
|
31.85%
|
38.43%
|
41.15%
|
41.76%
|
41.27%
|
40.22%
|
|
11
|
28.03%
|
35.93%
|
39.83%
|
41.34%
|
41.51%
|
40.92%
|
|
12
|
24.25%
|
33.17%
|
38.13%
|
40.52%
|
41.35%
|
41.25%
|
|
13
|
20.64%
|
30.26%
|
36.14%
|
39.35%
|
40.84%
|
41.25%
|
|
14
|
17.29%
|
27.30%
|
33.95%
|
37.92%
|
40.04%
|
40.97%
|
|
15
|
14.25%
|
24.38%
|
31.63%
|
36.27%
|
39.00%
|
40.43%
|